The Twin Cities area, a region of more than 3 million people, is still trying to extricate itself from the base of this pesky commercial real estate cycle. While the retail real estate deal volume is starting to pick up here, it remains more of a trickle than a flow, with value-priced merchants spurring much of the activity. In the first half of 2010, the Twin Cities retail vacancy rate stood at 10.4 percent, meaning nearly 7 million square feet of retail space remains vacant, according to Minneapolis-based NorthMarq, a commercial real estate services firm. On the national tenant side, several retailers are repositioning themselves, either by upgrading existing stores or relocating to more advantageous spaces as leases expire. There are also rumblings of several national tenants eyeing vacancies in the 10,000- to 25,000-square-foot range. Not surprisingly, value merchandisers such as Dollar General, Big Lots and Dollar Tree have increased their footprints in this environment as well. We are also seeing a slight resurgence in demand from mom-and-pop tenants. As in past downturns, there’s a growing roster of talented people who were displaced by corporate America that are opening their own retail businesses. At the commodities level, the grocery trade …
Retail
The fast-growing Salt Lake City metropolitan area, also known as the Wasatch Front, stretches about 40 miles north of downtown Salt Lake City to Ogden and about 40 miles south to Provo, now boasting a population of about 2.1 million — or about 75 percent of the state’s population. Highly favorable demographics continue to lure top-quality retailers, restaurants and shopping centers to the region, which enjoys one of the largest average family sizes in the country (3.6), the youngest median age (28.9) and an unusually high median household income of about $63,000. The market also has a highly educated, value-based population with a strongly established work ethic that encourages retail patronage and expansion. Growth in Salt Lake County, which has a population of about 1.1 million, is particularly strong in the southwest portion, which is the region’s strongest submarket. Area planners are projecting a population growth of 1 million people in the Wasatch Front over the next 30 years. Unlike other Western markets such as Phoenix, Las Vegas and Denver, retail real estate in the Salt Lake City metro area is not as volatile. Area unemployment stands at a relatively low 7.3 percent in contrast to the national mark of …
The national economic downturn hasn’t impacted the greater New Orleans retail market nearly as much as the glacial pace of decision-making on behalf of retailers and investors who have pledged to enter, or re-enter, this still underserved market. As we close in on the 5-year anniversary of Hurricane Katrina, retail properties in Jefferson Parish and other more affluent parishes have rebounded, while large swaths of Orleans Parish, home to the city of New Orleans, remain retail starved. Many residents of New Orleans East, for example, must still travel 20 to 25 minutes to find affordable basic staples. Exacerbating this problem are relatively high barriers to entry in New Orleans, which is landlocked and has restrictive big-box ordinances. There’s still not a single Target store, Best Buy, Bed Bath & Beyond, PetSmart or Staples in the city and just one Walmart. Making things even more difficult, Orleans Parish continues to lose tax dollars to other parishes. However, New Orleans is slowly regaining its momentum, with roughly 350,000-plus people back in residence, compared to a pre-Katrina population of about 450,000. Most New Orleans neighborhoods that were not flooded have returned to nearly 100 percent of their July 2005 populations. Retail real estate …
The fast-growing Salt Lake City metropolitan area, also known as the Wasatch Front, stretches about 40 miles north of downtown Salt Lake City to Ogden and about 40 miles south to Provo. The area now boasts a population of about 2.1 million — or about 75 percent of the state’s population. Highly favorable demographics continue to lure top-quality retailers, restaurants and shopping centers to the region, which enjoys one of the largest average family sizes in the country (3.6), the youngest median age (28.9) and an unusually high median household income of about $63,000. The market also has a highly educated, value-based population with a strongly established work ethic that encourages retail patronage and expansion. Growth in Salt Lake County, which has a population of about 1.1 million, is particularly strong in the southwest portion. Area planners are projecting a population growth of 1 million people in the Wasatch Front during the next 30 years. Unlike other Western markets, retail in the metro area is not highly volatile. Most retailers did take an expansion hiatus here during the recession, but store fallout was minimal, except for a handful of closings by bankrupt national retailers. Some major national retailers, including Target, …
Dallas/Fort Worth’s retail market continues to show the impact of the economic downturn, most notably in a lower occupancy rate. But the market at mid-year 2010 is showing signs of getting a little better. The market is helped by the improving economy. For example, April represented the third month in a row of positive job growth in D/FW, although overall unemployment remains more than 8 percent. As of mid-year, D/FW shows an occupancy rate of approximately 86.2 percent, compared to 86.4 percent at year-end 2009. The rate, which is very low, results in part from the many vacant boxes that were created in the past few years by the closures of Circuit City, Linens ‘n Things, Shoe Pavilion, Steve & Barry’s and Mervyn’s, plus underpforming grocer and department store locations. The rate remains fairly consistent thanks to a market where no major chains have gone out of business. Other than a handful of 2010 closings of underperforming Blockbuster stores (following a number of 2009 closings), we haven’t seen major chain pullbacks similar to when Linens ‘n Things failed in late 2008 and Circuit City and closed its last stores in early 2009, putting hundreds of thousands of feet back onto …
The Hampton Roads metropolitan area of southeastern Virginia, named for both the Norfolk-Virginia Beach metro area it encompasses and the body of water that surrounds it, is unlike most other U.S. markets. Its huge military presence, which includes the Air Force, Army, Coast Guard, Marines and the largest Naval base in the world, helps keep this market on an even keel, as do the estimated 6 million people who visit its tourism haven, Virginia Beach, each year. Consequently, this growing market has not been hit nearly as hard by the retail downturn as others. The seven cities that chiefly comprise the Hampton Roads trade area—Virginia Beach, Norfolk, Hampton, Chesapeake, Newport News, Portsmouth and Suffolk—are expected to show a combined population well in excess of 2 million when the 2010 census is tallied, up from 1.6 million at last count. There has been some softening in retail demand. Like elsewhere, landlords have had to re-adjust expectations. Those willing to be aggressive and creative are getting deals done, though certainly not at the same numbers as just 3 years ago. While small businesses seem more willing to look at new opportunities, one overriding issue continues to be tenants’ inability to obtain financing. …
It’s no secret that the greater Detroit area suffered a double hit in the last 4 years, first from the well-publicized decline in auto sales and then from the 2008 crash and lengthy downturn.Despite the economic gyrations, however, there is a considerable upside and leasing momentum to talk about. Several new-to-the-market retailers, restaurants and fitness chains are landing in the region, including ULTA, which has done 10 deals in the last 7 months in mostly high-income areas. Discount grocer ALDI has opened 20 stores in the past 18 months, most often purchasing land to build 12,000-square-foot stores in high-density, middle-income areas. Other new retailers to the market are Five Below, Christmas Three Shops, buybuyBABY, Yankee Candle, clothier Citi Trends and a new concept by local furniture giant Art Van called Pure Sleep. Five Guys Burgers and Fries, Fat Burger and Chipotle have also moved into the market, as have Fitness 19, Planet Fitness and their much larger competitor LA Fitness. LA Fitness is opting for 50,000-square-foot locations, both stand-alone and retrofit, primarily in professionally oriented, mid-to-upper income areas. The chain has opened eight locations in the market, and in the past 2 years, it has built clubs in such high-traffic …
With a strong economic foundation based upon the education, healthcare and pharmaceutical industries, the greater Philadelphia market has long been revered as one of the most stable markets in the United Statesthat isunaffected by the manic swings often experienced by other major markets. Even at the height of the recession, savvy retailers remained relatively active in top-tier, well-positioned segments of the market. In fact, several used the recession to position themselves more strategically and affordably in tough-to-penetrate areas, minus the frenzied competition they faced before the downturn. The black eye created by the closures of Circuit City and Linens ‘N Things, two of the most high-profile retail bankruptcies of the recession, has seemingly healed faster here than elsewhere,as many of the junior anchor spaces they vacated are getting absorbed by several electronics retailers. hhgregg, which had 12 simultaneous openings in the region on May 20, 6th Avenue Electronics and P.C. Richard & Sons are the most conspicuous of said retailers. hhgregg is making its first retail foray into the Northeast while the more regionally oriented 6th Avenue Electronics and P.C. Richard & Sons found themselves conveniently based in the New York metropolitan area and able to take advantage of these …
The Las Vegas retail market has taken a significant hit during the economic downturn, but amid the doom-and-gloom the city continues to attract retailers and visitors that eventually will help restore stability to the region. Much of the declines are being driven by the general economy and, subsequently, joblessness throughout greater Las Vegas. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the metropolitan area reported an unemployment rate of 13.8 percent in January 2010, compared with 10.3 percent in January 2009. With nearly 136,000 people out of work in metro Las Vegas, it has been difficult for the market to achieve consumer spending levels that could help turn the market around. Recent retail statistics show worsening conditions for metro Las Vegas. According to a December 2009 survey conducted by Applied Analysis, the Las Vegas retail market had a vacancy rate of 10 percent, which is up from 7.5 percent in December 2008 and more than double the market's historical 10-year vacancy rate of 4.5 percent for anchored retail centers. Meanwhile, average retail property rents reportedly declined to $1.84 per square foot, down from $2.13 just 1 year prior. New development virtually stalled for retail properties in the market during 2009. …
The writing was on the wall. Some read it; others ignored it. Regardless of the strategy, retail development came to a halt in 2008. A few single-tenant buildings were developed, but most ground-up projects went into a holding pattern. Two years later, most of those projects are still on hold or moving very slowly at best. From power centers and mixed-use developments to strip centers and grocery-anchored centers, development activity remains stagnant throughout the Peach State. Hardest hit are the secondary and tertiary markets where developers built shopping centers based primarily on residential growth projections. Unfortunately, those projected communities were never built. Many retailers in those markets have struggled, and some have closed their doors. As national retailers look for space again, shopping centers in those markets will be low on their list, furthering the decline of these centers. How Will Developers Survive? The old cliché — location, location, location — holds true. Developers with good projects in prime locations will make it through the cycle by adapting to the changing market conditions with the short-term focus on cash flow and long-term focus on value. However, several fundamental tactics are needed to survive this economic cycle: • Asset Stabilization: One …