There's no doubt that the Mile High City has been reeling lately from the country’s current economic downturn. At a time when other cities have experienced a significant decline, Denver has held on to a majority of its retail due in large part to business sectors, such as renewable energy and governmental agencies, choosing Denver for their headquarters and the unemployment rate remaining at around 7 percent, which is below the national average. While vacancy rates also remain below national averages, hovering around 10 to 12 percent, supply for retail space remains higher than demand. Although construction projects are happening downtown and in areas with high residential populations, developments have slowed greatly. Most projects currently under construction started either before the downturn with tenants already committed or were put on hold. One such project in the final stage of completion is the redevelopment of SouthGlenn Mall in Centennial. The entire mall—except for anchor stores Sears and Macy’s—was demolished in 2006 and completely rebuilt as a mixed-use center called The Streets at SouthGlenn. With nearly 1 million square feet of retail space, 140,000 square feet of office space and 200 luxury residences, the first phase of The Streets at SouthGlenn opened …
Retail
With a population of 2.2 million, Portland is the 28th largest metropolitan area in the country, the fourth largest city on the West Coast and the largest city in Oregon. Sportswear and equipment businesses Nike, Adidas-America and Columbia Sportswear are all headquartered in Oregon. National publications often cite the Portland area for its coolness factor. In 2009, Men’s Journal named Portland the third “Best Beer Town in the U.S.,” the Wall Street Journal dubbed it the fourth best “Youth Magnet City” and it was third in the Forbes annual list of safest major cities. Unfortunately, it’s not all positive news for the area. Oregon has the fourth highest statewide unemployment rate in the country. During the past year, Oregon has lost 100,000 jobs, and the unemployment rate is now holding steady at 11.5 percent. However, for the real estate sector, the state had the foresight to have well thought out land-use planning laws, and this has benefited the region in these tough times. In the early 1970s, Governor Tom McCall commissioned a study on the future of the Willamette Valley, whose farms and forests were being threatened by a wave of new growth and poorly planned development. Knowing that Oregon’s …
The retail sector continues to struggle as consumer confidence remains relatively low. Until the job market perks up, Orange County residents will maintain low levels of spending. This nervous sentiment has crossed over to prospective investors in retail properties because of the potential for weak cash flow. Leasing activity is at a virtual standstill, with no anticipated movement for at least the next 6 to 9 months. With the exception of Kohl’s and Forever 21 leasing up former Mervyn’s stores and Marshalls taking up large space at previously occupied locations, most of the vacated big box spaces are sitting empty. As of August, the Orange County vacancy rate increased to 7.7 percent, up 8 percent from the previous quarter. Further evidence of a weak market, the average asking rent declined $0.05 to $2.56 per square foot from the previous quarter. Sales activity during the third quarter has lacked large trendsetting transactions. Due to rising vacancies and declining rental rates, potential investors have been hesitant to acquire large properties; this explains why most of the deals have been small or mid-sized. Cap rates have shifted from 5 percent during the market peak in 2007 to 8 percent or higher for large, …
Chicago, the nation’s third-largest metropolitan area, is known as a legendary shopping destination. Occupying a glamorous stretch along Chicago’s Michigan Avenue, the Magnificent Mile is lined with fabulous shops, exciting sightseeing activities, restaurants, luxury hotels and even flagship boutiques for some of the world’s most luxurious brands. But the Windy City, like most of the nation, remains mired in a depressed real estate market and faces the worst slump in retailing growth in at least a decade. Vacancies across the Chicagoland market have increased and are currently hovering between 10 and 12 percent. But because the city is so large, there are varying degrees to which areas are affected. The outlying suburbs, where clusters of homes sprouted from farm fields just as the recession began, seem to be faring worse than the downtown area and the more densely populated suburbs. Retailers are taking advantage of the current conditions and many are leaving the “green,” suburban areas and repositioning within the city or upgrading their locations if they already have an urban presence. In the city proper, a massive new Barneys New York emporium opened its doors earlier this year. The 90,000-square-foot store occupies a new six-story building on the corner …
National retailers have taken a step back this year and have begun looking at opening up new locations in the San Jose area in 2011 and 2012. There are fewer retailers currently active in the San Jose retail market, which can have a negative effect on the absorption of large blocks of space that come into the market as retailers downsize. Former Mervyns sites continue to be the largest weight in the market due to the substantial size of each space — sites average 85,000 square feet. It is difficult to find tenants to occupy the entire store, and it is often cost prohibitive to subdivide these properties. Retail vacancy increased in the second quarter of this year. Year-over-year, Silicon Valley’s overall vacancy rate has gone to 6 percent from 3 percent at the end of the first half of 2008. Anticipate retail vacancy to climb to 7.5 percent by year’s end. The good news is that compared with other retail markets on the West Coast, the Silicon Valley retail market has not experienced a tremendous amount of overbuilding. The amount of jobs lost so far has been less extreme when compared with San Francisco, San Mateo and Alameda. Since …
Small box retail is the new Seattle trend, and small-shop local retailers are rising to the top. Investor groups are primed, seeing this market as a cherry-picking field of opportunities. Strong big box retailers are shopping a surplus of space that has gone dark. The vacancy rate in the Puget Sound area is 7 to 8 percent, with 4 percent being the norm in prior recessions. Retailers that have vacated without immediate replacement include Circuit City, Linens 'n Things and Joe's Sports & Outdoor. Developers and landlords have struggled to crunch numbers that mid-box retailers can digest. Retailers still seek “Main & Main” locations. Small shop space now commands 25 percent lower rents, but remains competitive due to lack of new construction. From small to large space, tenants should expect to see rates in the low teens, even the single digits in one-off markets. After many peaked at more than current market rates, renewal rates have now dropped in order for landlords to retain tenants. Often space that would have commanded $36 per square foot to $40 per square foot 2 years ago, now goes for around $30 per square foot. Both the upper-income suburban locations and the inner-city mixed-use …
The impact of today’s worldwide economic downturn and credit crunch is significant, but it is in no way the worst in history, especially for Houston. Houston was hit harder than other markets in the 1980s; in a way, this guaranteed that the city would be ahead of the rest of the nation in terms of avoiding a recession. Compared to the rest of the country, current demand for retail space in the area continues to be high, and the city has a relatively low vacancy rate of about 10 to 12 percent. Houston’s economy is still largely based on energy, but to a lesser extent than in years past. Houston’s growing population and strong economy continues to fuel a reasonably healthy retail market. A relatively low unemployment rate and a low cost of living are driving forces of the resilient market. In 2008, as most of the country was experiencing downsizing, Houston had a net gain of approximately 57,000 jobs in the region. Residents have continued to shop, but the habit of buying has changed — or it has at least slowed down a bit. Nonetheless, retailers consistently say Houston is one of the strongest performing markets in the country. …
During the past 12 months, the Louisville retail real estate market has proven itself to be full of opportunities as well as challenges. An almost equal amount of developments were completed since the beginning of last year as were put on hold. Likewise, as many stores have opened as have closed, and as many submarkets have thrived as have struggled. In spite of these inconsistencies, the Louisville market finds itself uniquely well-positioned for resumed retail growth as the national economy rebounds. The northeast and east retail submarkets remain extremely stable. Within these markets there are more than 2 million square feet of retail space including some of the city’s premier shopping destinations. The Summit, the city’s only lifestyle center, is more than 98 percent leased with a tenancy that boasts some of the most recognizable names in lifestyle retail and fast casual dining. Likewise, Springhurst Towne Center is more than 90 percent leased with the anchor tenants Target, Meijer, TJ Maxx, Liquor Barn and Dick’s Sporting Goods. The landscape will continue to evolve with the completions of Phase I of Chamberlain Pointe, a mixed-use center, and North Commons, a town center development. St. Matthews continues to be widely considered the …
The key indicator in the retail market in Reno/Sparks is that vacancy rates have increased and are expected to continue increasing for the remainder of 2009. Vacancy rates have reached nearly 15 percent at the mid-point of 2009 and net absorption continues to be negative. The amount of space available continues to increase due to unemployment, bankruptcies, relocations and acquisitions. Area home prices continue a downtrend with the majority of sales coming from distressed properties. The good news is that unit sales are up year over year, and home affordability has never been better. Retail lease rates continue to decrease as an estimated 2.4 million square feet of space is currently available in Reno/Sparks. Cap rates have increased steadily since a low in 2007, but the increase appears to have slowed down. The Legends at Sparks Marina held a grand opening in June 2009 and will be one of the major retail locations in the Reno/Sparks metropolitan area when it is completed. Developed by RED Development, the 2 million-square-foot shopping and entertainment destination is located on 147 acres in Sparks fronting Interstate 80 and will be highly visible to out-of-state travelers passing through the area. Because the project is estimated …
San Diego has historically been a strong retail market with low vacancy and barriers to entry that restrict the supply of new centers. However, the market has not been immune to these difficult times. Rising unemployment and decreased home values have made consumers more cautious, leading to lower sales volumes for many retailers and restaurants creating slightly more vacancy throughout the area. Expo Design Center, Linens ‘N Things, Circuit City and Mervyns are just a few of the big boxes that sit empty along with several former gas stations, Starbucks Coffee, Banner Mattresses, Baja Fresh and La Salsa locations. However, these vacancies created opportunities for Wal-Mart, Kohls, Best Buy, yogurt shops, taco shops and others to enter projects or trade areas that had proven difficult to enter. Many of these former restaurant locations still include the furniture, fixtures and equipment and have created excellent opportunities for new tenants to reopen with little upfront investment. This is particularly true in South County as many experienced restaurateurs and other business owners from Mexico are crossing the border to open businesses. Tenants such as Autozone, Chase Bank, CVS/pharmacy, Gamestop, 7-Eleven and Five Guys are now taking advantage of the lower rents and increased …