When it comes to grading commercial office space, there is no doubt that location is still king — and other factors such as price, architecture, functionality and amenities all take a back seat to the property’s location. Since we assign buildings letter grades (A and B), let’s take a look at what these letter combinations mean and the relationship of quality to location. In these scenarios, the first letter describes the building’s class (A or B) and the second letter represents the desirability of its location (A or B). The A/A designation refers to Class A buildings in Class A locations. It’s no surprise that this is the first category of office space absorbed when a market heats up and leasing volume intensifies. During this stage of the cycle, rental rates to inch upward, and more importantly, lease renewal terms tighten as landlords sense a shift toward the middle. For Memphis, Tenn., the total vacancy for Class A space in the East Memphis submarket decreased from 2.9 percent during third quarter 2014 to 2 percent in fourth quarter 2014. Almost 24,000 square feet of Class A office space in the East submarket was leased during fourth quarter 2014, and this …
By the numbers, 2014 was a pretty good year for the Memphis retail market. With over seven million square feet of rentable retail space, the overall vacancy rate decreased roughly one percent since the end of 2013 while rental rates were relatively flat. Not bad. Not great either. It is important to note, however, that Memphis retail is not classified into A, B and C properties like their office and industrial counterparts, so we don’t often get an accurate snapshot of the market’s product availability. The truth is that Memphis is simply running out of space – desirable Class A space, that is. Because of this lack of available product, new construction is once again on the rise, as is redevelopment of existing structures within the city’s urban core. The good news doesn’t stop there. The willingness of local government entities to support development progress has proven to be instrumental to some very key wins for the Memphis MSA. This January, Tanger Outlets, a major player in the outlet mall industry, confirmed that it would partner with Poag Shopping Centers to develop a 310,000-square-foot outlet center in Southaven, Mississippi. Southaven and DeSoto County officials approved a $15 million tax increment …
Memphis has acquired many nicknames since its establishment in 1819: Blues City, Birthplace of Rock ‘N Roll, and Bluff City just to name a few. However, one name that has managed to work its way to the top of the list in recent years is America’s Distribution Center. Metropolitan Memphis, located in the southeast corner of Tennessee, northwest Mississippi and eastern Arkansas, contains approximately 4,598 square miles and is inhabited by approximately 1.3 million people. As one of the few MSAs to include three states, the Memphis region plays an integral role as the cornerstone of the Mid-South area. With a central location and rich transportation infrastructure, Memphis transformed into the regional and national distribution and logistics hub. Memphis’ transportation infrastructure is comprised of the four Rs: runway, rail, river, and road. Memphis International Airport was named the largest air-cargo airport in the United States for 18 consecutive years. It is now tied for first in the world with Hong Kong International Airport. Memphis is one of only three cities in the US that has five of the seven Class I railroads: Union Pacific/Southern Pacific, Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNSF), CSX Corp., Norfolk Southern and Canadian National Railroad (CN). The …
Nashville has quickly become one of the most active Southeast markets for multifamily, both in terms of development and sales. Driven by tremendous job growth, strong population increases, a pro-business climate and an educated workforce, Nashville’s remarkable multifamily growth is not overstated. From 2014 to 2017, more than 12,300 units are projected to enter the market, with another 9,000 that are planned or proposed. Concerns have arisen that Nashville’s supply will outpace the demand in the medium term. However, job growth indicators, sales activity and lease-up velocity indicate the contrary. Nashville’s economy has surpassed the $100 billion mark with a 5.1 percent unemployment rate and a 4.2 percent GMP growth rate that is double that of the rest of the nation. Notable recent expansions include General Motors (1,800 jobs), Under Armour (1,500 jobs), Magna International (357 jobs), and FedEx (347 jobs) — all of which were announced in the second half of 2014. In addition, Bridgestone America has announced that it will consolidate its operations in Nashville adding 600 jobs. These expansions combined with immense foreign direct investment continue to fuel the area’s growth. According to IBM’s 2014 Global Location Trends Report, Tennessee ranks first in the nation in terms …
Jack Daniels, FedEx and Gibson Guitar are a few international brands that already call Tennessee home, and the list has expanded over the past two years, as major brands have chosen to grow their operations in Middle Tennessee. Recent industrial relocations including Under Armour, Beretta and Hankook Tire are a few notable companies that chose Nashville over other major markets in the U.S. In addition, existing companies such as General Motors, FedEx and Nissan continue to expand their footprint in the region, creating more jobs and building larger facilities. All of this activity has created the demand for more site-ready properties that can accommodate build-to-suit projects and be delivered quickly. Nashville’s continued evolution as the South’s leading auto manufacturing hub, as well as its favorable central location, has bode well for the industrial market over the last few years. Favorable Fundamentals Nashville’s industrial market vacancy rate of 7.1 percent at the end of fourth-quarter 2014 is the lowest it has been since the fourth quarter of 2008, and the 2014 total net absorption has reached more than 2.25 million square feet, the highest absorption since 2006. This year is projected to be a banner year for new construction with multiple …
Nashville is now an established growth leader regionally and nationally. The city was a national trailblazer as the U.S. economy recovered from the Great Recession. That head start positioned Nashville to take advantage of broader growth trends and stay ahead of the pack as the remainder of the region and country started to grow again. Moody’s Analytics places Nashville firmly in an expansion phase, with fourth quarter employment growth 330 basis points ahead of the prior year, in-migration driving single-family housing permits up 13 percent last year and accelerating wage growth. Quoting Moody’s, “With the commercial real estate market tightening quickly, the pace of hiring will soon be contingent on how quickly new offices can be built or renovated. Yet there is still a good chance office-using employment could beat expectations, especially after 2016.” Class A buildings continue to dominate growth. Overall absorption for 2014 totaled 666,639 square feet, while Class A absorption was 689,009 square feet. Absorption exceeded construction by over 200,000 square feet, and Class A vacancy dropped from 5 percent at the beginning of the year to 3.5 percent at year-end. Vacancy that low inhibits movement, as is obvious in Brentwood with only 45,000 square feet vacant, …
The Nashville retail market continues to gain momentum. With approximately 338,773 square feet of retail construction underway, Nashville remains in a growth and expansion phase, with nationally recognized retail that offers unique options for tourists and locals. In 2014, approximately 53 restaurants opened, most notably Chauhan Ale and Masala House, Sinema, Prima, Acme Feed & Seed, Adele’s, City Winery, Two Ten Jack, Moto Cucina + Enoteca, Epice and Party Foul. Most of these landed in hot neighborhoods — The Gulch, East Nashville, 12th South, SoBro and Germantown. Nationally and locally we’re seeing demand for grocery-anchored retail. Demand has outstripped supply by a long shot. Major grocers own much of their real estate, and Publix followed suit in 2014, acquiring some centers it anchors, leaving fewer investor opportunities that will drive pricing and also move some investors into opportunities anchored by regional or independent grocers, or shadow-anchored assets. We actually expect non-retail projects to change the dynamic in Nashville in 2015. Within the Downtown loop, retail was non-existent, but with 1,000 new hotel rooms, 2,493 residential units and several new office projects under construction, bringing 5,000 more workers downtown, retail will follow. The $232.6 million Highwoods development for Bridgestone’s U.S. headquarters …
At the end of June, the Memphis industrial market’s vacancy rate dropped to 10.8 percent, the lowest rate the market has experienced since 2000. The total vacancy rate had gotten as high as 13.5 percent in the first quarter of 2012. With more than 930,000 square feet of net absorption by mid-year, the Memphis MSA maintained strong leasing activity for the fourth consecutive quarter. The most active Memphis submarket continues to be Desoto County, Mississippi. The Desoto submarket has net absorption of 605,314 square feet and a total vacancy rate of only 4.2 percent as of mid-year 2014. Due to its growing service center economy, the second most active market is the Northeast submarket with 158,856 square feet of net absorption year to date. Memphis’ most established submarket, the Southeast submarket, is home to approximately 44 percent of the total floor space in the region and closed the second quarter with a total vacancy rate of 12.5 percent and 2014 net absorption of 123,416 square feet. This trend will more than likely continue as there is a limited supply of larger, developable tracts of land in Shelby County, Tennessee, in addition to more aggressive tax abatements and a less cumbersome …
Rail, river, runway and road offer a robust quadra-modal transportation solution in Memphis, which creates an environment for on-going real estate development, investment and job growth in the region. Five Class 1 railroads operate major facilities in the Memphis metro. In recent years those railroads have collectively invested more than $1 billion in infrastructure to serve a growing customer base. Likewise, Memphis International Airport, the largest cargo airport in the U.S. and second-largest in the world, has been the center of much investment and activity. FedEx is currently adding an 88,000-square-foot, $20 million “cold-chain” facility at the airport to handle highly specialized bio-medical shipments, and UPS has recently leased an additional 26 acres on the airport property for a reported $80 million expansion of its existing Memphis airport sort facilities. Manufacturing Growth According to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, manufacturing job growth continues to outpace the U.S. with a 1 percent increase compared to 2012, while the nation only saw 0.1 percent growth in jobs overall. Manufacturers have been increasingly vigorous in the last several years, taking advantage of the go-to-market transportation infrastructure and a low-cost business environment with investments in new or expanded facilities by Nucor Steel, …
Nashville’s commercial real estate market accelerated in 2013 as both lease and sales activity reached pre-recessionary levels. A number of new development projects were announced to account for the tightening vacancy as Nashville’s economy progressed with lower unemployment than the U.S. average. It was a big year all around in 2013 as Nashville was nationally praised for its fast-growing suburbs, new businesses and careers and the much hyped up-and-coming culinary scene. Furthermore, Nashville made a solid case for its newest accolade as one of the ‘Top Markets to Watch’, by the Urban Land Institute. The city’s economy proved to be resilient and competitive with low unemployment and new businesses entering the market. November 2013 recorded 5.8 percent unemployment in Davidson County, 1.2 percent less than the national average. Low Vacancy Nashville retail is currently experiencing its lowest vacancy in years. At the end of 2013, the overall vacancy rate dropped to 7.8 percent, down from last year’s year-end vacancy rate of 8.3 percent. At the peak of the recession in 2010, Nashville recorded a retail vacancy rate of 10 percent. The recent improvement trend over the past two years is a result of the city’s low unemployment numbers and business-friendly …