Washington

Business headlines over the past few months have been full of sunny reports from Seattle: Boeing, for example, is in full swing thanks to the production ramp up of the 787 and the backlog of orders for both the 787 and 737, representing a workload of more than 5 years. The tech sector is hopping here as well, with Google adding up to 840 jobs, Amazon doubling the positions available from a year ago to 1,900, and solid growth at Facebook. This all takes place, of course, in a market that happens to include big-name employers like Microsoft and the increasingly active Gates Foundation, and strong sectors such as Biotech and Pacific Rim trading. Given this strong and diverse economic base, then, it is perhaps no surprise that Seattle is robust compared with many other U.S. markets. This is not to say the recession had no effect — a year ago, rents in empty boxes were leasing at discounts of up to 40 percent of what had been paid by previous tenants. However, the market here has gradually stabilized, and those discounts have shrunk to 15 to 20 percent of previous rental rates. Today, in fact, retailers like HomeGoods, Sports …

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Small box retail is the new Seattle trend, and small-shop local retailers are rising to the top. Investor groups are primed, seeing this market as a cherry-picking field of opportunities. Strong big box retailers are shopping a surplus of space that has gone dark. The vacancy rate in the Puget Sound area is 7 to 8 percent, with 4 percent being the norm in prior recessions. Retailers that have vacated without immediate replacement include Circuit City, Linens 'n Things and Joe's Sports & Outdoor. Developers and landlords have struggled to crunch numbers that mid-box retailers can digest. Retailers still seek “Main & Main” locations. Small shop space now commands 25 percent lower rents, but remains competitive due to lack of new construction. From small to large space, tenants should expect to see rates in the low teens, even the single digits in one-off markets. After many peaked at more than current market rates, renewal rates have now dropped in order for landlords to retain tenants. Often space that would have commanded $36 per square foot to $40 per square foot 2 years ago, now goes for around $30 per square foot. Both the upper-income suburban locations and the inner-city mixed-use …

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The Seattle market is currently experiencing the lowest tenant demand in 30 years. Both early stage companies and strong credit corporations are tightening their belts and are reluctant to commit capital. Large companies with strong credit usually look for cost saving consolidation opportunities, but unfortunately, this requires some up-front capital, which is being frozen by financially savvy executives. Many new developments commenced 2 to 3 years ago as Seattle was rated one of the top five real estate markets in the nation. Those projects broke ground without the foresight of the recession that followed. There are currently four new vacant office buildings complete or close to completion. Those buildings include West 8th, 1918 Stewart, 2201 Westlake and 1100 Eastlake. All of their anxious landlords and investors are competing for a small pool tenants. Additionally, the downfall of Washington Mutual has brought thousands of additional square feet onto market. JP Morgan Chase refuted most leases through its bankruptcy acquisition of Washington Mutual. This perfect storm of over supply totals more than 6,500,000 square feet of class A and B office space available for lease. The Eastside markets have been saved from excessive vacancy owing to Microsoft’s expansion last year. However, overall …

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What area is your expertise? Multifamily Investments — Greater Seattle Area What trends do you see presently in multifamily development in your area? With vacancy rates below 5 percent in the greater Seattle area, we see continued rental rate growth, and continued demand for apartment rental units. In general, the number of apartment units is down, and more units in development for 2009 – 2011 will increase the unit count in the downtown areas. Who are the active multifamily developers in your area? Avalon, Lorig, SRM Development and SP Real Estate are some of the active multifamily developers with new projects underway. Please name one or two significant multifamily developments in your area. What impact will these projects have on the market? Avalon’s new Avalon at Meydenbauer recently opened in downtown Bellevue adding over 350 units within walking distance to Bellevue Square and the new Lincoln Center. SRM Development is underway with 130 units being developed in Seattle in South Lake Union nearby Vulcan’s new developments, Amazon’s new Headquarters and the new Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. Where is the majority of development taking place? Why is this area doing well? The majority of new development is occurring in and …

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What area is your expertise? Our team’s expertise is the industrial real estate market primarily in Western Washington along the Interstate 5 corridor. We also work nationally for clients who are expanding into other areas either for site/space acquisitions or investment opportunities. What trends do you see presently in industrial development in your area? Currently there is no speculative development occurring in our area. Sites of interest would be infill sites in mature markets and rail-served sites. Risk is being priced back into the market with a significant pricing spread being evident between Class A and Class B properties — something we did not see during the high point of this past real state cycle. What type of industrial product is doing well in your area? Business parks accommodating the smaller to medium size users are doing relatively well. In addition, properties located near or in Seattle are doing well. The Kent Valley, due to its close proximity to Seattle and being composed or primarily business parks, is experiencing a decline in vacancy rates. In addition, rail served sites are a desirable commodity. Who are the active industrial developers in your area? Active national developers include: Panattoni, First Industrial, Opus, …

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The Pacific Northwest’s regional economy remains strong even after being impacted by the national and global economic trends. Unemployment is up to 5.3 percent in the region. Housing sales have also slowed, however, sales prices have increased slightly. Most retailers’ sales have increased although across-the-board sales have been flat, since auto and furniture sales are down, due to rising fuel prices and fewer home sales, respectively. Questionable shopping center projects are now being placed on hold or have become staged developments, while well located, designed and tenanted centers are going forward. Well-placed neighborhood centers continue to be planned and developed, though some neighborhood centers have been impacted by Wal-Mart Supercenters and Winco Foods, causing nearby grocers to close or reposition. This has resulted in large vacancies in a few neighborhood centers. Regional and community centers have also seen a few more vacancies, which has caused some retailers previously suffering from poor sales to close stores, while others are taking a more cautious approach to expansion. National retail apparel chains have slowed, bypassing most community center opportunities. Regional malls continue adding lifestyle components. At Southcenter in Tukwila, Washington, a second lifestyle component could be added to the north side of the …

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What area is your expertise? Seattle, Washington What trends do you see presently in office development in your area? There are currently 13 office projects of 100,000 square feet or larger under construction in the Greater Seattle Office Market comprising approximately 3.7 million square feet. Who are the active office developers in your area? Daniels Development Company, Vulcan Real Estate, Schnitzer West, Touchstone, Opus Northwest and Martin Selig Real Estate. Please name one or two significant office developments in your area. What impact will these projects have on the market? 818 Stewart Building — Developed by Schnitzer West is due for delivery third quarter 2008. This is the first new Class A construction to be completed in the Courthouse district area of Seattle’s Central Business District (CBD). Fifth & Columbia — Developed by Daniels Development, it will become a key part of Seattle’s established financial district when it is completed in late 2010. Where is the majority of development taking place? Why is this area doing well? Much of the new construction in Seattle is occurring in the North CBD and South Lake Union areas. The North CBD houses the new federal courthouse and South Lake Union will be home …

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