The Las Vegas retail market is transitioning from recovery to stability. Based on CoStar’s second-quarter report, the overall vacancy rate was 9.9 percent, a slight decrease from the 10 percent experienced at the end of the second quarter of 2014. The decrease is impressive considering the 2 million square feet in net absorption that occurred during this same period. Rental rates have continued to average around $1.30 per square foot, per month for the past 2.5 years, although we are hearing about newer centers achieving impressive rate increases. There was 822,512 square feet of retail space under construction at the end of the second quarter of 2015. Ikea is the largest retail project currently under construction in Southern Nevada, which is expected to open next summer. The second largest project is Tivoli Village’s 117,516-square-foot expansion. Restoration Hardware also signed a lease this quarter for 77,000 square feet at Tivoli. It is expected to take up occupy during the first quarter of 2016. Though private investors dominate the market, we are seeing more institutional investors who are interested in acquiring newly stabilized product. Cap rates have continued to decline, averaging 6.53 percent for 2015, compared to a 2014 average of 6.99 …
Western Market Reports
Although the Metropolitan Las Vegas office market has not experienced the robust recovery seen in other sectors, it has shown three years of moderately steady growth. With net absorption of 341,976 square feet through the second quarter of 2015, the area is experiencing the 14th consecutive quarter of positive net absorption, while the vacancy rate is at the lowest level since the first quarter of 2009. The steady improvement in the Las Vegas office market is largely attributed to the city’s economic rebound, particularly in employment. The Bureau of Labor Statistics pegged the unemployment rate for Las Vegas at 6.6 percent as of May 2015. It’s also the first month to see an unemployment rate below 7 percent in nearly seven years. Office-related employment represents about 28 percent of the total labor force, second to only hospitality employment, and has played a critical role in the area’s economic recovery. In addition to the buoying job market, housing has improved, contributing to the economic recovery. New home starts increased by 45 percent year-over-year in the first quarter of this year, according to Metrostudy, while the average asking home price increased by 12 percent in the same time period. Las Vegas has …
After muddling through the post-recession with office vacancy rates stuck around 20 percent for the overall Phoenix office market, the office sector has begun to show elements of stabilization in the Valley of the Sun. The unemployment rate in Phoenix plummeted to 5 percent in April this year, down from more than 11 percent near the end of 2009. The overall office vacancy ended the first quarter of this year at 17.2 percent. Second quarter figures were not available at press time, but my colleagues and I think it will dip below 17 percent at mid-year. If it does, the vacancy rate will have dropped nearly 300 basis points over the previous 24 months. The submarkets with the lowest vacancy rates are the usual suspects in our marketplace: Scottsdale (11.2 percent), 44th Street Corridor (aka Camelback Corridor at 11.6 percent) and Tempe, which houses the main campus of Arizona State University (12.7 percent). The slow and steady recovery makes for a healthier market than boom and bust swings. Some of the region’s larger office occupiers have expanded in recent years, which account for a substantial amount of office space absorption. A short list of growing companies with significant footprints here …
After disappointing national GDP results early this year, we’ve received great reports on jobs, housing, auto sales, personal income and construction, suggesting the economy is improving. National job growth has seen a 12-month positive, record-breaking streak, while consumer confidence remains strong. Consumer spending is also likely to remain strong in the coming months, supported by high savings, rising house prices and a tightening labor market. This has led the retail market to continue its improvement with demand driven, in part, by high employment rates and consumer spending. Retailers are continuing to grow and progress with multiple small construction and proposed projects throughout Orange County. The local market finished last quarter with decreasing vacancy rates that ended at 4.4 percent. The Orange County retail market has seen a vacancy rate decline over the past 12 months that began at 4.9 percent and finished last quarter at 4.4 percent. Average rental rates have performed just the opposite to vacancy declines. We’ve seen a rise in the past four quarters to an average of $23.15, a total increase of more than 3.4 percent. The steady decline in vacancy and increase in average rental rates can be directly credited to the high demand for …
Hawaii is one of – if not the – top-performing industrial market in the country. The city and county of Honolulu, which contains Hawaii’s main shipping port, had a low vacancy rate of 2.05 percent at the end of the first quarter. This vacancy rate peaked at 4.8 percent in 2009. Significant gains have been made since then. The direct weighted average asking net rental rate for industrial users in Honolulu was $13.80 per square foot (NNN) at the end of the first quarter, while operating expenses ran an additional $5.16 per square foot, per year on top of that. Having bottomed out after the downturn in 2009 at $11.20 per square foot, the Honolulu market has gained almost 24 percent since then. Land values have also followed suit. Hawaii is definitely not Chicago or Los Angeles. In fact, both of those markets have individual industrial parks greater in size than the entire Hawaii marketplace, at 39 million square feet. Having said this, Hawaii is in the midst of a construction and tourism boom, with billions of dollars being allocated to urban core renewal projects, light rail, resort renovations and new residential developments. Up until recently, this renewal had occurred …
The industrial market in Los Angeles County is extremely tight and shows no signs of letting up as the trend for conversion of industrial property to creative office space by tech and media industries is very prevalent. Many industrial property owners either sell their assets and realize major equity gains with the new buyer planning a conversion, or choose to convert it to creative office themselves, garnering two to four times the rental rate for creative space. The vacancy rate of 3.2 percent in the first quarter of 2015 was parallel to that of the last quarter of 2014. To give some perspective, the downward trend of industrial vacancy has continued since the second quarter of 2013 when vacancy posted at a 5 percent rate. Additionally, the majority of larger industrial development in the region is build-to-suit product, which has virtually no impact on vacancy. The Downtown Los Angeles industrial market continues this trend of industrial property conversion to creative office. The Arts District is ground zero for this. While the rejuvenation and gentrification of Downtown is a welcome sight, the industrial users are now having to relocate, seeking other spaces throughout the LA basin. Many of these users are …
With all the recent froth in the multifamily markets, knowledgeable observers are expressing concern regarding all of the cranes that are sprouting around Seattle. To assess the apartment market, we have compiled data recently published in the “March 2015 Apartment Development Report” by Dupre + Scott Apartment Advisors. The Seattle Metro area is in the midst of an apartment development boom, with an estimated 17,400 units under construction, 12,000 units to be completed and ready for occupancy in 2015 and 11,000 units to be delivered in 2016. There is an additional 25,000 additional units in various stages of planning for delivery over the next five years. This new construction is in response to low vacancy rates (3.5 percent in the Seattle MSA, excluding vacancies for properties in initial lease-up), job expansion and related in-migration to the area. These trends have resulted in rising rents for new projects, up more than 7.4 percent in the region in the past 12 months (skewed by rents in newly opened projects). The new units under construction or proposed are heavily weighted to the close-in neighborhoods surrounding the Seattle CBD (Belltown, Downtown Seattle, South Lake Union) and close-in neighborhoods north of Lake Union (Ballard, Greenlake/Wallingford, …
Improvement in apartment fundamentals has remained strong and is expected to continue over the next two quarters. The unemployment rate in Los Angeles County was 7.6 percent in March 2015, which represents a 100 basis point decrease from the same period last year. Supported by steady job growth, more than 108,000 new jobs are forecast for Los Angeles County in 2015, representing a 2.6 percent improvement over last year’s performance. A significant amount of units are currently under development and more are expected to come on line later this year. Issuance for about 7,446 multifamily units is forecast for 2015, and issuance is expected to rise to more than 17,000 units in 2016 and 2017 with the anticipated absorption of about 11,800 units over that same period. That said, developers are likely to relax their efforts to obtain new permits into the latter half of 2015 based on an expected modest uptick in vacancy. Currently standing at 3.2 percent, the overall vacancy rate will likely increase to 3.5 percent by year-end. The average year-over-year rent increased about 2.5 percent depending on the individual submarket. The greatest level of appreciation was represented in the South Glendale/Highland Park submarket where asking rents …
The Seattle office market has been a shining example of strength and solidity. Compared to the U.S. job rate, which expanded by 2.4 percent over the past year to drop the unemployment rate to just 5.5 percent, the Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue Metropolitan Statistical Area is looking good. Seattle added jobs at a rate of 3.1 percent in the first quarter of 2015. It also saw employment gains in every category. The unemployment rate remained in line with the U.S. rate at 5.5 percent. Construction led all job sectors with 12.6 percent growth, followed by professional and business services at 4.2 percent. The Seattle Central Business District office market showed continued improvement as the overall vacancy rate declined by 2.8 percentage points on a year-over-year basis. Asking rents continued to climb in all submarkets with an overall increase of 4 percent, while Class A rents increased by 5.6 percent. Making tech giants feel at home is nothing new to the Seattle area. The largest lease of the past quarter was Facebook’s 274,000-square-foot deal at Dexter Station. With a planned delivery of May 2015, Dexter Station will be a 10-story, 345,992-square foot office building located in the flourishing Lower Queen Anne/Lake Union submarket. Facebook …
A booming Denver economy has strengthened the local real estate market, creating strong demand across all property sectors, including multifamily, housing, office and retail. The wealth effect stemming from robust employment and rising home values will specifically drive retail sales in the Denver metro this year. A thriving retail market will attract new tenants to the metro, and facilitate healthy rent growth. Employers will continue to expand in the metro, pushing total employment to a new high and drawing additional residents to the metro. Hiring will expand 3.3 percent this year as employers are expected to add 45,000 total workers to payrolls. Metro Denver has also attracted high-wage earners. For instance, Lockheed unveiled plans to add 850 high-paying jobs at its Jefferson County facility over the next few years. Meanwhile, rising housing demand has lifted the median price of an existing home nearly 60 percent over the past six years. This has caused Denver to become one of the most expensive non-coastal housing markets in the nation. High home values will positively affect how homeowners feel about their financial situation, encouraging retail spending. Retail construction will slow this year as many developers focus on redevelopment projects like the Southwest Plaza …