Southeast Market Reports

Memphis Industrial Market Begins to Normalize After Years of Robust Growth

by John Nelson September 4, 2023

In January of 2023, the Memphis industrial market was coming off multiple years of record-breaking growth. However, mid-year we seem to be trending back to a somewhat normal growth pattern. The Memphis industrial market, which was fueled by the pandemic like many other markets, is finally beginning to normalize. Economic factors also influence the market as well. First and foremost is the uncertainty: uncertainty in interest rates, uncertainty in construction costs and uncertainty in when will we see some signs of stabilization. Many say we need to survive until 2025. Yet, the Memphis industrial market seems to have all the tools to handle this moment, and move forward. Memphis, located on the borders of Tennessee, Arkansas and Mississippi, is known as “America’s Distribution Center” — boasting unparalleled expertise in distribution and logistics. With a central location, Memphis’ transportation infrastructure comprises the four Rs: runway, rail, river and road. Memphis International Airport houses the largest cargo airport in the world with the FedEx worldwide hub. Memphis is one of only three cities in the country that has five of the seven Class I railroads: Union Pacific/Southern Pacific, Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNSF), CSX Corporation, Norfolk Southern and Canadian National Railroad (CN). …

September 4, 2023

Market Reports Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Memphis Office Market Remains Steady Despite Sector-Wide Challenges

by John Nelson August 28, 2023

The Memphis office market posted 271,828 square feet of positive absorption in 2022, and that momentum has carried into the first half of 2023. Like most markets, Class A properties accounted for the majority of positive absorption, at 218,851 square feet. This trend has already carried into 2023, as Class A properties lead net absorption totals to begin the year. As a result of a strong year, the vacancy rate has fallen to 12.4 percent market-wide, an 840-basis-point decrease from the height of the pandemic. Additionally, sublease availabilities are less prevalent in Memphis than other comparable office markets. Currently there is 257,681 square feet of sublease space available in the Memphis market, which has a total net rentable area of 21.7 million square feet. The average among similarly sized Southeast markets is 422,624 square feet. There haven’t been substantial space additions to outweigh the below-average leasing activity thus far in 2023. The Memphis unemployment rate continues to trend downward to 3.2 percent in April, slightly lower than Tennessee’s 3.3 percent unemployment rate and the national rate of 3.7 percent. The tight labor market has increased demand in East Memphis, as tenants demand high-quality, highly amenitized buildings to attract and retain …

August 28, 2023

Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Memphis Multifamily Outlook: Prepare Your War Chest

by John Nelson August 21, 2023

It’s no secret: The multifamily real estate market in Memphis has experienced a significant decline in investment sales volume and total transactions over the past year. But with signs of life coming quickly on the horizon, how can you be ready to capitalize? According to CoStar Analytics, the 58.7 percent sales volume decline in Memphis is in line with the national average, but we have seen a larger dip in total transactions. The steep and rapid decline is directly correlated to the Federal Reserve’s ongoing battle of taming inflation. The Fed has increased the benchmark federal funds rate at 10 consecutive meetings. And while there was a pause at the June meeting, more rate hikes are expected this year. What does this mean for investors and operators? The cream will rise to the top. Some investors may default on loans due to floating-rate debt and the rapid rate increases, while others may struggle to refinance or sell without incurring losses as their cheaper rate caps expire. However, those that have executed their business plans effectively and added value to their apartment complexes by raising rents can expect some cushion. Another interesting factor to examine is the vacancy rate, which has …

August 21, 2023

Market Reports Restaurant Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports Tennessee

Memphis Retail Market Shows Grit With Several Developments in the Works

by John Nelson August 14, 2023

The term “grit” has become synonymous with Memphis. The commercial real estate landscape continues to receive headwinds from interest rates, high inflation, construction prices and geopolitical tensions, but Memphis continues to show grit in the face of these obstacles. Memphis presents a compelling opportunity for retailers seeking expansion. With a low vacancy rate of just 3.5 percent and strong occupancy levels, the city’s retail market is flourishing. The annual rent growth of 3.7 percent aligns with the national average, indicating a stable and promising environment for businesses. Moreover, Memphis offers competitive pricing for retail spaces, with affordable rates and attractive cap rates that surpass those of neighboring markets. This appealing pricing structure, coupled with a surge in transaction activity, has revitalized the market, providing increased liquidity and investment opportunities. The Regional Megasite of West Tennessee is witnessing a remarkable undertaking from Ford Motor Co. in its newly forged partnership with South Korean battery company SK Innovation. The ambitious Blue Oval City project is well underway. Currently valued at $5.6 billion and sprawling across 3,600 acres, the project is expected to generate nearly 6,000 job opportunities with another 30,000 ancillary jobs in the surrounding communities. Anticipated spillover effects from this venture …

August 14, 2023

Florida Market Reports Restaurant Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Six Trends to Watch for Central Florida’s Growing, Evolving Retail Market

by John Nelson August 7, 2023

Central Florida retail is alive, well and growing, thanks in large part to Florida’s continuing resilience to the nation’s economic challenges. Thousands of people are moving to the state each week, the Orlando area’s economy continues to diversify beyond tourism and residents continue to show confidence with their retail spending. That said, there are significant challenges facing new retail developments, due to the cost of construction and other inflationary pressures. We expect this to be a major issue for the rest of this year, and it will require thoughtful planning for everyone involved in these projects. As we look at the remainder of 2023, we see two big takeaways: • For brick-and-mortar retail, it’s important for developers and owners to bring in concepts that are new and fresh. In some cases, this involves established retailers getting creative with their spaces, like what Macy’s is doing with its new Market by Macy’s concept, which uses a smaller footprint than traditional Macy’s stores. • To make new retail developments happen, developers, landlords and tenants need to be inventive in how they structure deals, whether it’s sharing in construction cost overages or giving tenants more time to get their spaces ready. With that …

August 7, 2023

Market Reports North Carolina Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Charlotte Retail Turns to Infill Adaptive Reuse, Mixed-Use Projects Post-Pandemic

by John Nelson July 31, 2023

In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, Charlotte’s retail segment has experienced a remarkable revitalization, fueled by a convergence of factors that have reinvigorated the city’s economic landscape. With a thriving job market, affordable cost of living and a surge in adaptive reuse, mixed-use and infill projects, Charlotte has become a hotbed for retail activity. As the city emerges from the challenges of the pandemic, it has embraced innovative approaches to urban development, transforming once-vacant spaces into vibrant hubs of commerce. Several macro-economic trends have impacted retail growth in Charlotte. Population growth in the city has spurred an increase in consumer demand, leading to a vibrant retail market. In a May 18 article from the Charlotte Business Journal, it was noted Charlotte added more than 15,000 people to its population count between 2021 and 2022, the nation’s fifth-highest numeric increase during that span, according to the latest estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau. As more people choose to settle in Charlotte, the demand for goods and services has risen, prompting retailers and restaurants to expand their operations and invest in new locations. Additionally, the rise of e-commerce and the shift toward online shopping have compelled retailers in Charlotte to adapt …

July 31, 2023

Market Reports Multifamily North Carolina Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Charlotte Multifamily Continues to Beat the Odds as it Experiences Positive Growth

by John Nelson July 24, 2023

When reflecting on Charlotte’s multifamily market over the past few years, several major trends drove unprecedented transaction volume — record-level rent growth, positive absorption despite a consistently robust pipeline of deliveries, strong population growth from high in-migration and rapidly increasing homeownership costs pricing residents out of the market. Charlotte has been a popular relocation destination for individuals and families, particularly from the Northeast, Midwest and other parts of the Southeast who are drawn to the low cost of living, warm climate and strong economy. Zillow ranks Charlotte as the No. 1 housing market for 2023, signaling a continued rise in home values and subsequent increased demand for rental housing from the growing population. In-migration has made Charlotte experience explosive growth and bolstered the population to over 2.7 million residents by year-end 2022, a 5.6 percent increase since 2018 compared to the national rate of 1.3 percent. Equally impressive is regional job growth, with non-farm payrolls increasing 7.9 percent over the same time frame. Much of Charlotte’s multifamily growth is attributed to capital investment from new employers across the metro, including Albemarle Corp.’s $180 million investment into a new research campus in University City bringing 200 new jobs, as well as …

July 24, 2023

Georgia Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Atlanta’s Rental Housing Market Promises Resilience, Despite Near-Term Challenges

by John Nelson July 17, 2023

Against the backdrop of rising interest rates, recent financial stress and murkiness over the Federal Reserve’s ultimate direction and economic implications, dealmaking in the first half of 2023 has remained exceedingly challenged across all real estate sectors as wide bid-ask spreads persist. However, compared to other spaces, rental housing in the Southeast remains relatively healthy from a fundamentals perspective, despite supply-driven softening in the near term. This trend is evident in many major markets, including cities like Atlanta. Occupancy and rent growth remain healthy in Atlanta. The rental vacancy rate for Atlanta as of January 2023 reached 5.4 percent, a 0.9 percent decrease over the previous year, based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau. This falls below the national average of 5.8 percent for the fourth quarter of 2022. The median rental rate in January 2023 was also up 4.3 percent year-over-year, reaching $1,941. Population growth, employment opportunities, infrastructure investments, a business-friendly environment and other demand drivers continue to intensify Atlanta’s need for housing; and long term, the outlook for rental housing in the metro is very strong. More than 6 million people now live in the region, according to recent Census data. The Atlanta Regional Commission predicts more …

July 17, 2023

Market Reports North Carolina Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Outlook Remains Strong for Raleigh’s Office Market, Despite Current Obstacles

by John Nelson July 10, 2023

Despite shifts toward remote and hybrid work, office rents continue to rise in North Carolina’s Triangle region. Among the 25 largest office markets in the country, Raleigh experienced the second-highest rent growth between 2019 and 2022 — a testament to continued tenant demand. We’re also seeing renewed interest in trophy assets, where the average asking rent has reached an all-time high of $43.35 per square foot. Additionally, the first quarter showed a 280,000-square-foot increase in total office supply, indicating investor confidence in Raleigh’s resilience. Compared to rival markets, Raleigh wasn’t overbuilt pre-pandemic. The market doesn’t have millions of square feet of vacant space downtown and is more balanced than its competitors, leaving plenty of opportunity for future growth. Another indicator of Raleigh’s growth trajectory is the 32 percent year-over-year increase in tours given by JLL’s Office Agency Leasing team this year. Given the current economic headwinds, we know that prospects are taking longer to make decisions about their space. However, we also know they are actively evaluating their options and making long-term plans for their team’s future needs. At buildings within our portfolio, badge swipes last quarter reached a post-pandemic peak utilization of 68 percent – just 13 percent shy …

July 10, 2023

Florida Market Reports Office Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Miami Continues to See Flight to Class A Offices Amid Record Rental Rates

by John Nelson June 26, 2023

A wave of new-to-market office tenants — specifically legal tenants following the influx of financial firms and tech companies — continue to expand their presence in Miami. The trend further solidifies the city’s spot as a top destination for companies seeking reduced taxes, strong talent and vibrant communities. Looking back at the first quarter of 2023, net absorption totaled over 81,000 square feet (compared to 76,000 square feet in the first quarter of 2022), marking the third-highest quarterly total since 2020. Most leasing activity occurred in the Central Business District (CBD) and in Class A product in Wynwood and Coral Gables as tenants continue to lease high-quality space. However, the lack of availability in quality product, as well as the overall economic uncertainty, has led to a slowdown in leasing volume to start 2023 — particularly among new-to-market tenants. Leasing activity totaled 750,000 square feet in the first quarter compared to 1.5 million in fourth-quarter 2022. The quarter closed with a 16.3 percent vacancy rate, the lowest level since the onset of the pandemic in early 2020. Class A availability fell 260 basis points to 21.1 percent year-over-year with the largest drops recorded in downtown Miami, which fell 540 basis …

June 26, 2023

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