Market Reports

Mesa Becomes a Mecca for Industrial Development

by Jeff Shaw May 30, 2024

Todd Ostransky, vice president of development at Indicap, knew Metro Phoenix was a market the firm wanted to enter for industrial development. Though the area is a hotbed of industrial activity, Indicap’s attention immediately set on Mesa, less than 20 miles east of Phoenix, for its inaugural project. “We identified the East Valley as an area of growth, along with the need for space for mid-bay industrial spec product,” he says. Indicap and joint venture partner AECOM-Canyon Partners chose a 65-acre space within the mixed-use, master-planned community of Eastmark. The JV purchased the site for $48 million in April 2022 during a period of “aggressive expansion,” which saw Indicap kick off 10 developments involving more than 13 million square feet of Class A industrial space across key Arizona corridors. The inaugural Phoenix-area project was Eastmark Center of Industry, which completed Phase I construction in April. This phase brought 978,837 rentable square feet of Class A industrial space to Mesa’s Gateway Airport submarket. The space spans five mid-bay and cross-dock buildings. It features concrete slab on grade, tilt-up exterior walls, and a hybrid wood roof system, ensuring durability and flexibility. Power was also a major amenity for a project of this …

May 30, 2024

Florida Market Reports Multifamily Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Miami Multifamily Market Holds Steady Despite Challenging Market Conditions

by John Nelson May 29, 2024

Miami’s multifamily sector was on fire from the end of 2020 through the beginning of 2023 as the market received a wave of newcomers, primarily from affluent Northeastern and Western states. During the height of the pandemic, roughly $1 out of every $6 in income that moved nationwide relocated to Florida, more than any other state. And Miami-Dade County saw the second highest inflows of any county in the country behind only Palm Beach, two counties to the north of Miami-Dade. This influx resulted in tremendous rent growth, booming new development and record-setting sales. The period also marked dozens of corporate expansions and relocations to the area and a consistent sub-3 percent unemployment rate dating back to August 2022, which is below today’s 3.8 percent national rate. Since then, things have slowed down, though the epic in-migration of wealth has made a permanent impact. Miami’s multifamily fundamentals stand out as a beacon of resilience amid supply challenges across the Sun Belt. Infill rents have remained flat since 2022, notching slight increases in 2024, and occupancy has faltered only slightly. This is rarely celebrated, but in this case, it represents Miami’s unique strength. Demand also emerged for a higher caliber of …

May 29, 2024

Market Reports Retail Texas Texas Market Reports

Challenging Assumptions About the Rio Grande Valley Retail Market

by Taylor Williams May 28, 2024

By Kirk Cypel, chief development officer, CBG Commercial Real Estate Misconceptions about the Rio Grande Valley’s (RGV) retail market abound, particularly among those who are unfamiliar with South Texas. But those who are entrenched in shopping center ownership and development in the area are baffled and frustrated by retailers allowing these misconceptions to deter them from actively exploring the RGV. Questions like whether McAllen is an eight- or 10-hour drive from San Antonio, whether there’s an airport, if it’s safe — these are inquiries that simply make local retail owners and operators shake their heads. The same applies to brokers who inquire about securing endcap, freeway-visible spaces for under $10 per square foot. The Valley Reality The RGV is less than a four-hour drive from San Antonio and is served by three commercial airports. It resembles a metropolitan area akin to California’s Inland Empire, where several interconnected cities form a cohesive economic unit. Yet many are surprised to learn of the RGV’s considerable size, spanning 422,107 square miles — 60 percent larger than the Inland Empire and more comparable to San Diego County in size. The Council for South Texas Economic Progress reports that the population is over 1.4 million, …

May 28, 2024

Market Reports Northeast Northeast Market Reports Retail

Northeast Mall Owners Recognize Importance of Communication in Redevelopments

by Taylor Williams May 24, 2024

By Taylor Williams If the whole mall redevelopment thing doesn’t work out, you can always become a marriage counselor. Perhaps some additional training and education would be needed for such a career transition to actually take place. But mall and shopping center owners who undertake high-risk redevelopments undoubtedly have firsthand appreciation of the importance of providing clear and courteous communication to the many different groups they deal with, from municipal leaders to longstanding tenants to onsite contract workers. That’s not to say that poor communication will necessarily kill a mall redevelopment. The inability to secure zoning overlay districts, civic partnerships for infrastructural improvements or feasibly priced construction loans in 2024 — these are variables over which mall owners have limited control and can actually sink these projects in their infancy. And those factors only come into play once the development team has done its due diligence and determined what uses and levels of density the project will feature. “After you’ve considered the macro-level needs of the market and the asset itself, you enter a phase that we call ‘the minefield map,’” says Steve Plenge, CEO of Pacific Retail Capital Partners. “Reciprocal easement agreements [that regulate design or tenancy issues] by …

May 24, 2024

Market Reports Nevada Retail Western Western Market Reports

Las Vegas Retail Market: A Tale of Two Cities

by Jeff Shaw May 23, 2024

— By Geoffrey West, Senior Vice President, Investment Property Sales and Acquisitions, MDL Group/CORFAC International — The Las Vegas retail market remains a tale of two cities with the tourism-driven Resort Corridor and surrounding MSA comprising two very different markets. In the past, the stories of the “cities” were somewhat divergent with robust development, premium rents, and top-tier restaurant, bar, entertainment and retail tenants dominating in the Resort Corridor. In contrast, the primarily suburban MSA experienced decreasing rental growth rates, metered new development and fewer exciting new tenants. However, looking at the past and current years, as well as into 2025, it appears the party isn’t just on the Las Vegas Strip anymore. Due in part to a statistical undersupply, the suburban Las Vegas retail market is poised to experience increasing rental growth rates over the next 12 to 18 months. The lack of new supply is expected to put continued upward pressure on retail leasing rates and downward pressure on vacancy rates, which are expected to be nearing record 2007 levels. Economic Summary The Las Vegas market saw the completion of more than $8 billion in development in 2023. Among these are the $3.9 billion, 3,644-room Fontainebleau Las Vegas, …

May 23, 2024

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Conference Coverage Market Reports Multifamily Texas Texas Market Reports

InterFace Panel: Austin, San Antonio Multifamily Markets Face Looming Supply Glut

by Taylor Williams May 21, 2024

By Taylor Williams The multifamily markets of Austin and San Antonio — two of the fastest-growing cities in the country over the last decade — are on pace to deliver above-average volumes of new apartments in 2024, causing some industry experts to express concerns of potential oversupply. The origins of oversupply are not hard to trace, assuming the average apartment project in those markets takes about four years to complete from the time the site is identified and the entitlement and permitting processes begin to when the property is stabilized. Call it five years for some projects that experienced delays due to COVID-19. But in either case, the current wave of new product was largely financed at historically low interest rates at a time when healthy rent growth was easily underwritten. Demand was there, so developers supplied. And for similar reasons, the distress should be short-lived. With interest rates having risen by 400-plus basis points over the last two years and cuts for 2024 looking increasingly less likely, 2025 should be a year of very few new construction starts. Many owners that are delivering product this year will want to allow time for excess supply to be absorbed and see …

May 21, 2024

Florida Market Reports Restaurant Retail Southeast Southeast Market Reports

Retail Rents Rise in South Florida as Demand Continues to Outpace Supply

by John Nelson May 20, 2024

The retail sector in South Florida is undergoing adjustments that reflect the region’s dynamic economic landscape and evolving consumer preferences. One notable trend is evident in the restaurant sector, where owners increasingly aim to expand by opening new locations and entering lucrative markets. This trend is primarily driven by consumer spending, particularly the continual growth of Miami’s tourism industry. Visitors directly inject capital into the local economy, leading to increased disposable income that often circulates back through experiential commerce such as restaurant sales. A clear indicator of the local market’s strength is the ongoing rise in rental asking rates, significantly surpassing national averages. A robust 4.6 percent upturn in asking rent this year, as reported by CoStar Group, demonstrates retailers’ ability not just to survive but to thrive in a market with elevated asking prices compared to the rest of the state. This upward trend in rent is accompanied by a low 2.8 percent vacancy rate, according to CoStar data, indicating a competitive landscape where profitable lease opportunities are increasingly scarce for tenants. The retail sector within the restaurant industry continues to thrive, showing significant activity and heightened interest. The influx of high-net-worth individuals and a post-pandemic resurgence in immigration …

May 20, 2024

California Market Reports Multifamily Western Western Market Reports

Bay Area Multifamily Sector Focuses on Operations

by Jeff Shaw May 17, 2024

— By Anthony Pappageorge, Managing Director, NorthMarq — The Bay Area multifamily market is showing signs of stabilizing, although there are some persistent challenges present in the market that will impact operations. With 2024 likely to be a period of slower economic growth, there will be a continued emphasis on multifamily property operations. The challenges in the Bay Area rental market have shifted somewhat in recent years. In the period immediately following the pandemic, owners of rental properties were focused on maintaining occupancy levels and rent collections. In the current environment, added pressures surrounding rising property insurance costs and the prospect for additional rent control measures are increasing uncertainty to the Bay Area multifamily market. Occupancy: A Bit Lower than Usual, but Bouncing Back One multifamily property metric where the Bay Area routinely outperforms nearly every other part of the country is occupancy levels. Conditions remain tight at the beginning of 2024, with average occupancies ranging from about 96 percent in the South Bay and San Francisco, to about 94.5 percent in the East Bay. Current occupancies are about 50 basis points lower, on average, than in 2019. This is welcome news to operators who saw rates decline to about 90 …

May 17, 2024

Kansas Market Reports Midwest Midwest Market Reports

Wichita Market Continues to Show Signs of Substantial Growth

by Kristin Harlow May 16, 2024

By Bob Ale-Ebrahim, Occidental Management Wichita has seen significant growth in the commercial real estate market for two years in a row. There have been sizable investments in downtown, new industrial campuses, medical offices and higher education institutions. These projects are spurring strong momentum in downtown Wichita. Wichita is a thriving hub of social, professional and cultural experiences with 350 new residential units under development with over 120 unique retailers and 4.1 million square feet of occupied office space. Add in the solid job growth, and Wichita continues to show significant signs of a solid and expanding economy. Projects recently completed include the WSU Tech National Institute for Culinary & Hospitality Education (NICHE), The Hudson St. Francis (event space), The Arcade and the Chester I. Lewis Reflection Square Park. Projects under construction include Hi-Tone Lofts, Sutton Place student housing and the Broadway Plaza AC Marriott Hotel. Projects in the planning stage are street improvements at Commerce and St. Francis streets, the Wichita Biomedical Campus, Wichita Transit multimodal facility, ballpark/riverfront stadium development, Exploration Place amphitheater and destination playscape, Delano Riverfront Stadium project and the Kingdom Building. Wichita’s economic development generated more than $418 million in capital investment in 2023 alone. Remarks …

May 16, 2024

California Leasing Activity Market Reports Office Western Western Market Reports

LA Office Market’s Leasing Challenges Continue as Debt Matures

by Jeff Shaw May 15, 2024

— By Taylor Stokes, Market Intelligence Analyst, Avison Young — The Los Angeles office market continues to struggle with a 24.7 percent vacancy rate at the end of the first quarter of 2024, according to Avison Young’s first-quarter Los Angeles office market report. Leasing activity picked up slightly in the first quarter of 2024 with 951 leases recorded. This equated to 3.5 million square feet, up 5.4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2023 when there were 902 leases signed. To put the decline of occupancy in perspective, the first quarter of 2022 ended with a 15.4 percent office vacancy rate, which was up from 15 percent at the end of 2021. It was also up from the previous high of 13.1 percent that was recorded in 2010. There were a couple lease transactions to highlight in the first quarter of 2024. Snap picked up 400,000 square feet in Santa Monica, while Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi signed a nearly 62,000-square-foot lease in Downtown Los Angeles. Downtown continues to struggle with the highest vacancy in the market at 28.6 percent. The anticipated return to office hasn’t happened, as many users see the hybrid work schedule continuing for the long-term. They, therefore, …

May 15, 2024

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